So the real question is: How much money will Omniture raise once it completes its Initial Public Offering?
Well, as I tell shareholders and financial professionals alike when discussing some of our agency’s publicly traded clients and the prospects for the financial future, “If I could predict the future, I’d probably be sitting on a beach in the Bahamas instead of . . . .”
Nevertheless, even if deciphering SEC forms (such as Omniture’s S-1) can be difficult at times, the info’s still there if you dig a bit.
The basics are this: Omniture (as a company) plans to sell 8.7 million shares to the public at a price range the underwriters anticipate will fall between $7.50 and $9.00 per share at the “opening price.” At this amount and this range, we’re talking about a “gross” total of between $65.25 million and $78.3 million.
Additionally, the underwriters also have the ability (if they so choose) to sell an additional 1.6 million shares as part of an “overallotment.”
Typically, overallotment shares are not sold if the stock prices at or near the bottom of the anticipated pricing range. But for argument’s sake, let’s assume that the demand is high and the entire overallotment is sold too, which would give us an additional range of $12 million to $14.4 million in additional gross proceeds.
Add up all the numbers and you end up with a potential range of gross proceeds to Omniture of $65.25 million on the low end to $92.7 million on the high end in IPO gross proceeds to Omniture. And that’s based upon a LOT of assumptions (too many to detail here).
I personally expect the IPO to go well for Omniture and I expect the shares to “price” and begin trading before the end of July. If not, then we’re realistically talking post-Labor Day for the completion of the IPO, and no one wants that to happen. Not Omniture, not the underwriters, not the brokers and dealers.
So pick a date? Okay, how ’bout a wild guess of Wed., July 12 at an opening price of $8.60 per share? I guess we’ll see.
[DISCLOSURE: Omniture was a client years ago back when the company was known as MyComputer.com. Additionally, I have been offered the ability to purchase “friends & family” shares as part of the IPO, an offer that I have not yet decided if I will act upon or not. If so, I will disclose this too. dlp.]